Tuzla-İstanbul Bölgesinde Monte Carlo Yöntemi Kullanılarak Olasılıksal Tsunami Tehlike Analizi

Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for Tuzla test site using Monte Carlo simulations adlı makalenin anlatımı.


Kaynaklar:
- http://www.koeri.boun.edu.tr/aheb/pdf_dokumanlar/Tsunami_kitap.pdf

- https://www.usgs.gov/media/images/tsunami-terms
- Bayraktar, H. B., & Ozer Sozdinler, C. (2020). Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for Tuzla test site using Monte Carlo simulations. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20(6), 1741-1764.
- Armijo, R., Meyer, B., Navarro, S., King, G., and Barka, A.: Asymmetric slip partitioning in the Sea of Marmara pullapart: A clue to propagation processes of the North Anatolian fault?, Terra Nova, 14, 80–86, https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3121.2002.00397.x, 2002.
- Bohnhoff, M., Bulut, F., Dresen, G., Malin, P. E., Eken, T., and Aktar, M.: An earthquake gap south of Istanbul, Nat. Commun., 4, 1999, https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms2999, 2013.
- Hancilar, U.: Identification of elements at risk for a credible tsunami event for Istanbul, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 12, 107–119, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-107-2012, 2012.
- Luciani, R.(2010). “Earthquake Lesson”, GIUNTI Progetti Educativi, INGV, Bologna.
Leelawat, N., Suppasri, A., Charvet, I., & Imamura, F. (2014). Building damage from the 2011 Great East Japan tsunami: quantitative assessment of influential factors. Natural Hazards, 73(2), 449-471.
- Matthews, M. V., Ellsworth,W. L., and Reasenberg, P. A.: A Brownian model for recurrent earthquakes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 92, 2233–2250, https://doi.org/10.1785/0120010267, 2002.
- Mori, N., Takahashi, T., Yasuda, T., & Yanagisawa, H. (2011). Survey of 2011 Tohoku earthquake tsunami inundation and run‐up. Geophysical research letters, 38(7).
- Murru, M., Akinci, A., Falcone, G., Pucci, S., Console, R., and Parsons, T.: M 7 earthquake rupture forecast and time-dependent probability for the Sea of Marmara region Turkey, J. Geophys. Res.-Solid, 121, 2679–2707 https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JB012595, 2016.
- Oglesby, D. D. and Mai, P. M.: Fault geometry, rupture dynamics and ground motion from potential earthquakes on the North Anatolian Fault under the Sea of Marmara, Geophys. J. Int., 188, 1071–1087, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246X.2011.05289.x, 2012.
- Okada, Y.: Surface deformation due to shear and tensile faults in a half-space, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 75, 1135–1154, 1985.
- Schmittbuhl, J., Karabulut, H., Lengliné, O., & Bouchon, M. (2016). Seismicity distribution and locking depth along the Main Marmara Fault, Turkey. Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, 17(3), 954-965.
- Tsuji, Y., Satake, K., Ishibe, T., Harada, T., Nishiyama, A., & Kusumoto, S. (2014). Tsunami heights along the pacific coast of northern Honshu recorded from the 2011 Tohoku and previous great earthquakes. Pure and Applied Geophysics, 171(12), 3183-3215.
- Wells, D. L. and Coppersmith, K. J.: New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 84, 974– 1002, 1994.